By John Kagia, Chief Knowledge Officer, New Frontier Data
Now over a month old, California’s catastrophic Dixie Fire has scorched more than half a million acres, making it the second-largest wildfire in the Golden State’s history. With less than a third (31%) of it reportedly contained, and critical burn conditions forecast, it is expected to cause significantly more destruction before it is contained. More worryingly for stakeholders in the state, the Dixie Fire is but one among more than a dozen fires of interest being tracked by Cal Fire, the state’s firefighting agency.
Unseasonably high temperatures, record droughts, and untamed wildfires characterize a particularly grim future facing western U.S. states, and California stands exceptionally vulnerable. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, 88% of the state is facing extreme or exceptional drought conditions – the most extensive drought conditions registered since 2000, with essentially half (47%) of the state subjected to extreme drought conditions.
The effects are acute: As detailed by the U.S. Drought Monitor, exceptional drought produces costly fire seasons, meaning that “the number of fires and area burned are extensive”.
Water availability and quality also deteriorate as water shortages become widespread, surface water is depleted, federal irrigation water deliveries are extremely reduced, junior water rights are curtailed, water prices become extremely high, wells turn dry, more and deeper wells get drilled, and overall water quality is poor.
While California has experienced seasonal droughts every few years throughout the past two decades, this season’s drought is shattering long-standing records, subsequently straining the state’s water resources in unprecedented ways.
The extreme weather conditions pose serious challenges to cannabis growers throughout Western U.S. states and Canada all of which are experiencing historic drought conditions. In addition to California, nearly three-quarters of each Oregon and Nevada, and over one-third or more of Arizona, Washington, and New Mexico, are facing technically defined “extreme” or “exceptional” drought. Collectively, the affected states produce approximately two-thirds of the cannabis consumed in the U.S., suggesting the potential impacts which the shifting climate may have on the country’s most productive cannabis-producing regions.
Though water shortages and quality issues stemming from drought will impact all growers, more frequent and intense fires seasons are of particular concern to California’s outdoor growers, who to date account for half of the state’s issued cultivation licenses. Not only are disproportionately large numbers of outdoor growers located in the increasingly fire-prone Emerald Triangle (i.e., Humboldt, Mendocino, and Trinity counties), but even those who have less direct exposure to wildfires must contend with the impacts of smoke and ash on their cannabis flowers.
Exposure to smoke and ash prove especially pernicious for outdoor cultivators, since they not only alter the flavor of the cannabis, but (depending on both the type of fire and properties involved) may contain toxic chemicals which threaten to doom a crop’s passing its state-mandated testing.
For any grower among a region most at risk, integrating climate-change mediation tactics into one’s strategic planning is increasingly a business imperative.
The latest analysis by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change paints a grim picture of the planet’s overall outlook as the climate changes, and serves as immediate call to action for governments, businesses, and societies to work collaboratively to reduce the impacts of human enterprise on the planet. Unfortunately, given the critical realities which current extreme weather conditions illustrate, what is now being experienced will likely turn ever more severe. Thus, cannabis industry stakeholders — especially those in the highly productive Western states — must begin preparing in greater earnest for how to grow cannabis (beyond operating any business) in an environment made inescapably hotter, drier, and more unpredictable.