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Federal Cannabis Revenue to Total $44B Through 2025


  • As more revenue is generated in the legal cannabis, there will be more jobs created, and more business and payroll taxes generated for the federal government.
  • Roughly 200,000 jobs exist in today’s legal cannabis market (i.e., growers, processors, wholesalers and retailers), not including ancillary businesses.
  • By 2025, projections anticipate 630,000 industry-specific jobs.
  • Total estimated revenue at the federal level (payroll taxes plus roughly equivalent business taxes) is $2.9 billion for 2017, $3.1 billion in 2018, and reaching $6.7 billion by 2025. Taxes factor in higher effective 280e tax rates for cannabis businesses.
  • Total estimated federal revenues between 2017 and 2025 are in the cumulative range of $44 billion: While many assumptions supply that total, the data reflects New Frontier Data’s refreshed 2018 forecast and the impacts of the Trump tax cuts.